一二手房价倒挂蔓延楼市回调征兆已显露Price of house of hand of just a little is hanged spread omen of building city callback already was shown一二手房價倒掛蔓延樓市回調征兆已顯露

  最新的机构统计数据显示,包括北京、上海、深圳、广州等地在内的一线城市,一二手商品住宅销售价格的倒挂现象愈演愈烈。业内人士分析认为,一二手房价倒挂现象的逐渐蔓延,标志着一线城市房地产市场的实质性回调已经开始。

  一二手房价倒挂蔓延

  根据北京中原对最近几个月在京开盘的老项目再上市价格的统计,商品房售价低于同项目在售二手房价格的现象开始变得越来越多:

  位于东坝的首开常青藤家园8月开盘销售的均价为22729元每平方米,而同项目挂牌的二手房均价则高达25000元每平方米。学府树家园的二手房售价为34500元每平方米。而在7月底预售的一期新项目的售价则为33083元每平方米。

  北京之外,深圳、上海、广州等地的商品房市场,一二手房价倒挂的情况也正在逐渐增加。同时,天津、重庆、武汉、宁波、郑州、佛山、无锡等多个楼市重点调控的二三线城市,下半年以来也都纷纷出现不同程度的一二手房价倒挂现象,并且呈现愈演愈烈之势。

  市场回调征兆显露

  “一二手房价倒挂现象的扩大,标志着市场整体回调已经露出了征兆。”北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟分析认为。

  通常情况下,同一区域的新建商品住房价格是高于二手房价格的。与开发商定价的一级市场相比,二级市场的定价主体主要是个体小业主,他们对市场的反应相对滞后。所以,一手房市场价格具有更强的风向标作用,而二手房价格则与一手房价格存在很强的跟随关系。因此,一旦一手商品房价格下调,也就意味着市场的整体预期出现了转向,购房者就会明显下调心理价位,从而进一步加大整个房地产市场的回调预期。

  二手房市或将有价无市

  张大伟表示,在导致一二手房价倒挂的多种因素当中,可以明显地看到房地产调控政策的影响。比如,由于调控政策导致销量锐减、一手房存货量加大,使得开发商资金问题日益严峻,需要随时调整价格;受到限购无法换房的影响,二手房业主惜售心态愈发明显,挂牌出售价格居高不下;由于很多持有房产套数超过限购标准的投资者,一旦出售房产就没有购房资格,导致其出售更加谨慎,不愿意降价等等。

  随着调控效果的不断显现,不少业内人士都认为,这种一二手房价倒挂的现象很可能继续蔓延。而随着一手房价格的持续下调,继续维持价格高位的二手房市场很可能进入有价无市的状态。 据新华社



下面是姜申俊翻译所得
Newest orgnaization statistic data shows, include and other places of Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou inside city of a gleam of, of sale price of house of commodity of hand of just a little hang a phenomenon to grow in intensity. Analysis of the personage inside course of study thinks, price of house of hand of just a little falls those who hang a phenomenon to spread gradually, indicate the materiality callback of a market of estate of city of a gleam of has begun.

Price of house of hand of just a little is hanged spread

Be opposite according to Beijing Central Plains a few Laoxiang of month of open quotation is in Beijing look recently appear on the market again the statistic of the price, commodity house price under making work with the project secondhand the phenomenon of house price begins to become increasing:

Be located in east open quotation will sell home of first of dam evergreen cane in August all valence is 22729 yuan of every square metre, and what hang out his shingle with the project is secondhand room all valence is as high as 25000 yuan of every square metre. What institution of higher learning cultivates home is secondhand house price is 34500 yuan of every square metre. And in the first phase that opens to booking by July the price of new project is 33083 yuan of every square metre.

Besides Beijing, the commodity house market of and other places of Shenzhen, Shanghai, Guangzhou, the case that price of house of hand of just a little registers also is increasing gradually. In the meantime, the Tianjin, Chongqing, Wuhan, Ning Bo, Zhengzhou, Fosan, 23 lines city that waits for adjusting control of key of many buildings city without stannum, the price of house of hand of just a little that different level also appears in succession since second half of the year hangs a phenomenon, the situation that and appear grows in intensity.

Market callback omen is shown

“Price of house of hand of just a little falls those who hang a phenomenon to expand, the mark is worn market whole callback had shown sign. ” analysis of Wei of magnify of inspector general of department of research of market of Beijing Central Plains thinks.

Normally the circumstance falls, of same area building commodity housing value is prep above secondhand of house price. Decide with development the phase of one class market of valence is compared, the price principal part of 2 class market basically is individual small or petty proprietor, they are opposite to the reaction of the market lag. So, value of skill room market has more powerful vane effect, and secondhand house price exists with skill house price very strong follow relation. Accordingly, once price of skill commodity house is reduced, the whole that also means the market anticipates appeared to change direction, the person that buy a house can reduce psychological price apparently, the callback that increases whole estate market further thereby anticipates.

Secondhand room city or will valence does not have city

Magnify Wei expresses, between a variety of elements that bring about price of house of hand of just a little to be hanged, OK and apparent ground sees the effect of policy of estate adjusting control. For instance, because adjusting control policy brings about sales volume acute to decrease, quantity of skill room goods in stock is increased, make problem of development business capital increasingly severe, need adjusts the price at any time; Be restricted to buy the effect that cannot change a room, secondhand state of mind of carry out of room owner cherish is sent more apparent, hang out one’s shingle sell price house does not fall high; Because a cycle of songs in a traditional opera of house property of a lot of hold is restricted to buy standard investor more than, once sell house property did not buy room qualification, bring about its to sell more careful, do not be willing to depreciate etc.

As adjusting control effect show ceaselessly, the personage inside many course of study thinks, the phenomenon that price of house of hand of this kind of just a little hangs continues probably to spread. And reduce as the abidance of skill house price, those who continue to maintain price perch is secondhand room market enters the state that valence does not have city probably. According to Xinhua News Agency



下面是王晓静翻译所得
  最新的機構統計數據顯示,包括北京、上海、深圳、廣州等地在內的一線城市,一二手商品住宅銷售價格的倒掛現象愈演愈烈。業內人士分析認為,一二手房價倒掛現象的逐漸蔓延,標志著一線城市房地產市場的實質性回調已經開始。

  一二手房價倒掛蔓延

  根據北京中原對最近幾個月在京開盤的老項目再上市價格的統計,商品房售價低於同項目在售二手房價格的現象開始變得越來越多:

  位於東壩的首開常青藤傢園8月開盤銷售的均價為22729元每平方米,而同項目掛牌的二手房均價則高達25000元每平方米。學府樹傢園的二手房售價為34500元每平方米。而在7月底預售的一期新項目的售價則為33083元每平方米。

  北京之外,深圳、上海、廣州等地的商品房市場,一二手房價倒掛的情況也正在逐漸增加。同時,天津、重慶、武漢、寧波、鄭州、佛山、無錫等多個樓市重點調控的二三線城市,下半年以來也都紛紛出現不同程度的一二手房價倒掛現象,並且呈現愈演愈烈之勢。

  市場回調征兆顯露

  “一二手房價倒掛現象的擴大,標志著市場整體回調已經露出瞭征兆。”北京中原市場研究部總監張大偉分析認為。

  通常情況下,同一區域的新建商品住房價格是高於二手房價格的。與開發商定價的一級市場相比,二級市場的定價主體主要是個體小業主,他們對市場的反應相對滯後。所以,一手房市場價格具有更強的風向標作用,而二手房價格則與一手房價格存在很強的跟隨關系。因此,一旦一手商品房價格下調,也就意味著市場的整體預期出現瞭轉向,購房者就會明顯下調心理價位,從而進一步加大整個房地產市場的回調預期。

  二手房市或將有價無市

  張大偉表示,在導致一二手房價倒掛的多種因素當中,可以明顯地看到房地產調控政策的影響。比如,由於調控政策導致銷量銳減、一手房存貨量加大,使得開發商資金問題日益嚴峻,需要隨時調整價格;受到限購無法換房的影響,二手房業主惜售心態愈發明顯,掛牌出售價格居高不下;由於很多持有房產套數超過限購標準的投資者,一旦出售房產就沒有購房資格,導致其出售更加謹慎,不願意降價等等。

  隨著調控效果的不斷顯現,不少業內人士都認為,這種一二手房價倒掛的現象很可能繼續蔓延。而隨著一手房價格的持續下調,繼續維持價格高位的二手房市場很可能進入有價無市的狀態。 據新華社

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